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龚承柱,齐睿等 Multi-agent mixed complementary simulation of natural gas upstream market liberalization in China

发布人:胡松琴 发布时间:2021-03-29 点击次数:

龚承柱,齐睿等 Multi-agent mixed complementary simulation of natural gas upstream market liberalization in China

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澳门新京浦娱乐场龚承柱老师团队在T1级别期刊——ENERGY》上发表题为Multi-agent mixed complementary simulation of natural gas upstream market liberalization in China。论文第一作者龚承柱为澳门新葡亰手机版副教授。

Abstract / 摘要Natural gas supply in regionally interlinked but not perfectly integrated market might lead to high supply side concentration, which fails to achieve economic efficiency and requires market reform. This paper proposes an integration of multi-agent framework and mixed complementary model to outline the gas market-oriented reform schemes and examines the outcomes of gas upstream liberalization in China. In accordance with existing gas market conditions, several counterfactual scenarios are designed to simulate the influences of gas upstream market liberalization. We find that under the current Cournot competition, existing suppliers will exert market power, which results in a 2.18% reduction in gas supply and the retail price rise by 6.72%, but the market power performance will be mitigated with the improvement of infrastructure and the entrance of new gas supplier. Moreover, the current most appropriate price subsidy rate for import gas is about 6%, otherwise the average retail price will increase by 5.57% when the import subsidy is fully elimination. It can be concluded that the liberalization reform of China’s gas upstream market need priority ensure the diversified competition of suppliers, gradually promote the unbundling of infrastructure such as pipelines and gas storage, and then appropriately reduce the level of import subsidy.

论文信息;

Title: Multi-agent mixed complementary simulation of natural gas upstream market liberalization in China

Authors: Chengzhu Gong; Desheng Wu; Nianjiao Gong; Rui Qi

Key Words Gas market liberalization; Multi-agent system; Mixed complementary problems; Market power; Price deregulation

Indexed by Scopus; EI; SCI; INSPEC; WAJCI;

Highlights

• A novel multi-agent mixed complementary model is proposed for China’s natural gas market.
• We pay special attention to the gas upstream market liberalization on prices and subsidies.
• Scenario studies illustrate the liberalization of gas upstream market has positive outcomes in China.
• An appropriate liberalization reform path for China’s natural gas upstream market is provided.

JournalEnergy

Published June  2020

DOI10.1016/j.energy.2020.117535  

全文链接:https://schlr.cnki.net/new/Detail/Url/SJES_03/SJESCEA6C61B9AA1C6B5C035934EB0884419